Southern California Office Real Estate Blog

TO LIVE AND BUY IN THE CITIES – URBAN DEVELOPMENT IS A NATIONAL REAL ESTATE TREND

July 25, 2010 on 12:04 am | In Fascinating Information, Trends, Uncategorized, all |

By Jodi Summers

The Environmental Protection Agency has confirmed that the inner city is making a comeback.

The EPA analyzed residential building permit trends in the nation’s 50 largest metro regions from 1990 to 2007, offers quantitative evidence that city neighborhoods are growing in popularity.

“We’ve had anecdotal evidence for a while about successful infill projects, but we were curious to see how they fit into the big picture,” notes John Thomas, an EPA policy analyst and author of the report. “The big question was whether those examples added up to a fundamental shift in the geography of residential construction.”

Think of the development of the downtown L.A. loft district and consider that in Los Angeles, the number of housing permits issued for city lots jumped from 19% to 37% during the 18-year study period. More impressively (or because of less space) inner city redevelopment now accounts for more than half of residential new construction in New York, up from just 15% in the early 1990s. In Chicago, urban core redevelopment now accounts for 40% of all residential building permits in the region, up from 7% in the early 1990s.

In total, more than half of the markets in the study saw a dramatic shift away from exurban greenfield development and an uptick in urban core redevelopment over an 18-year period. In 15 of those markets, the central city more than doubled its share of housing permits, with the most accelerated spikes occurring in the past five years…

Among the cities posting notable downtown growth are Miami, Atlanta, Seattle, San Diego, Denver, Portland, Ore., Sacramento, and Milwaukee.

The study attributes these trends in reverse migration to continue to baby boomers and echo boomers – who are driving housing preferences. Additional factors weighing heavily on the shape and location of housing include increased immigration, smaller households, concerns over energy usage and climate change, and downsized consumer expectations in the wake of the current recession.

“…What you’re seeing now is the result of pent-up demand for mixed-use, urban housing near jobs, and transit. The market pendulum is swinging from drivable suburbanism to walkable urbanism,” observes Ed McMahon, a specialist on sustainable development at the Urban Land Institute.

The trend may be far more expansive than the EPA study, which is limited to new construction and does not include housing created through the rehabilitation or adaptive reuse of existing structures.

“There are deep expectations among Americans that this volatility [in fuel prices] will continue,” shares David Goldberg, communications director for Smart Growth America. “Combine that with an aging population and a drop in household size, and all signs point to a desire for more convenient locations with transportation options.”

http://www.builderonline.com/infill-development/housing-migrates-back-to-cities.aspx?cid=BLDR090319002

http://wwp.greenwichmeantime.com/time-zone/usa/new-york/new-york-city/images/new-york-city.jpg

http://blogs.venturacountystar.com/motorhead/epa.jpg

http://www.uoregonlaw.com/s/293/images/editor/PortlandOregon.jpg

http://www.neosmartgrowth.org/